| D4 | Tue, Nov 20, 2018 - Wed, Nov 21, 2018 |
D7 | Fri, Nov 23, 2018 - Sat, Nov 24, 2018 |
| D5 | Wed, Nov 21, 2018 - Thu, Nov 22, 2018 |
D8 | Sat, Nov 24, 2018 - Sun, Nov 25, 2018 |
| D6 | Thu, Nov 22, 2018 - Fri, Nov 23, 2018 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC the following day) |
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Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
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PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
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POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears unlikely (i.e., less than 15%) for the forecast day.
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ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 170755
SPC AC 170755
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CST Sat Nov 17 2018
Valid 201200Z - 251200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Stable conditions are expected to prevail across the majority of the
CONUS from early next week into the weekend. The only exception is
across TX on D5/Wednesday, when showers and thunderstorms appear
possible as a low-amplitude, southern-stream shortwave trough
progresses over the southern Plains. Given the current guidance,
severe storms seem unlikely on this day or any other day within the
forecast period.
..Mosier.. 11/17/2018
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
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Air Quality
Red Flag Warning
