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Updated:  Wed Jul 6 16:29:02 UTC 2022

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MD Legend Image Mesoscale Discussion #1395
MD1395 Thumbnail Image Mesoscale Discussion #1395
Issued: 06/1615 UTC
Until: 06/1815 UTC
Concerning: SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY

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  • SPC MD 1395

    Wed, 06 Jul 2022 16:16:03 +0000 UTC

    MD 1395 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF MID/UPPER OHIO VALLEY
    MD 1395 Image

    
    Mesoscale Discussion 1395
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1115 AM CDT Wed Jul 06 2022
    
    Areas affected...Parts of mid/upper Ohio Valley
    
    Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 
    
    Valid 061615Z - 061815Z
    
    Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
    
    SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch is likely for parts of the
    mid/upper Ohio Valley this afternoon. An MCV should foster scattered
    storms capable of wind damage.
    
    DISCUSSION...The remnant MCV from yesterdays severe MCS is currently
    moving through the southern Great Lakes region per water vapor
    imagery. Convection ahead of this feature has deepened over the past
    hour in western/central Ohio and this trend should continue this
    afternoon. The airmass ahead of this activity is quite moist and
    temperature range from the low 80s F in southern Ohio to around 90 F
    in southern Indiana. Enhanced wind fields with the MCV will promote
    25-35 kts of effective shear. Scattered storms should eventually
    develop this afternoon with a primary risk of damaging wind gusts.
    The primary uncertainty is how convection will evolve. The activity
    in Ohio will likely intensify as it ingest more buoyant air through
    time. There is also additional development possible along the
    outflow boundary in southern Indiana. It is likely that parts of the
    mid/upper Ohio Valley region will need a severe thunderstorm watch
    this within the next hour or two.
    
    ..Wendt/Grams.. 07/06/2022
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...
    
    LAT...LON   39348664 40148511 40318447 39558192 39148132 38648112
                38118164 37978253 38398503 38898630 39348664 
    
    
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