Space Weather Forecast Discussion
| Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center |
| Issued: 2022 Nov 29 1230 UTC |
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| Solar activity was very low. Regions 3151 (S16W73, Cso/beta) and 3152
(N27W05, Bxo/beta) were stable and in decay. A filament/prominence eruption occurred from along the southeast limb
beginning near 28/2049 UTC as seen in GOES/SUVI 304A imagery. This event
was modeled and determined to be a clear miss. |
| Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-flares
through 01 Dec. |
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| The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels. |
| The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected reach high levels on 29
Nov with elevated |
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| Earth remained under the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar
wind speeds started the day around 540 km/s and increased to near 660
km/s. Total field strength peaked at 9 nT and Bz deviated southward
early and late in the day, reaching a maximum southward deviation of -10
nT at 28/0033 UTC. |
| An enhanced solar wind environment is expected to last through 01 Dec
due to the influences of multiple positive polarity CH HSSs. |
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| The geomagnetic field reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming levels
while under the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. |
| Unsettled to active conditions are expected through 29 Nov with ongoing
CH HSS (+) activity, along with the anticipated arrival of another
positive polarity CH HSS. Isolated G1 (Minor) storming is also possible.
A third CH HSS is forecast to arrive on Day 3 (01 Dec) with stronger
winds, prompting a G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm Watch. |
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