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3-day Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
Issued May 17 22:00 UTC
Solar Activity Forecast:
Solar activity is expected to be at predominantly low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for all three days of the period (18 - 20 May).
Geophysical Activity Forecast:
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet during the first half of day 1 (18 May). Around mid to late on day 1, a shock arrival is expected from the partial halo CME associated with the 17 May M5 flare. Active to minor storm conditions are expected. Early on day 2 (19 May), unsettled to active conditions are expected, returning to quiet to unsettled levels by the end of the day. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on day 3 (20 May).
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HF PropagationMay 17 2105 UTC
Solar data from WWV. |
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SOHO MDI Sun Spots![]() |
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SOHO EIT 304 |
SOHO EIT 284 |
Mauna Loa Solar Image |
The sun is constantly monitored for sun spots and coronal mass ejections. EIT (Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope) images the solar atmosphere at several wavelengths, and therefore, shows solar material at different temperatures. In the images taken at 304 Angstrom the bright material is at 60,000 to 80,000 degrees Kelvin. In those taken at 171 Angstrom, at 1 million degrees. 195 Angstrom images correspond to about 1.5 million Kelvin, 284 Angstrom to 2 million degrees. The hotter the temperature, the higher you look in the solar atmosphere.

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CURRENT TIME
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Solar Cycle Progression Solar Cycle chart updated using the latest ISES predictions. |
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The Solar Cycle is observed by counting the frequency and placement of sunspots visible on the Sun. Solar minimum occurred in December, 2008. Solar maximum is expected to occur in May, 2013.
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Solar X-ray Flux This plot shows 3-days of 5-minute solar x-ray flux values measured on the SWPC primary and secondary GOES satellites. |
Satellite Environment Plot The Satellite Environment Plot combines satellite and ground-based data to provide an overview of the current geosynchronous satellite environment. |

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Northern Hemi Auroral Map |
Southern Hemi Auroral Map |
Instruments on board the NOAA Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite (POES) continually monitor the power flux carried by the protons and electrons that produce aurora in the atmosphere. SWPC has developed a technique that uses the power flux observations obtained during a single pass of the satellite over a polar region (which takes about 25 minutes) to estimate the total power deposited in an entire polar region by these auroral particles. The power input estimate is converted to an auroral activity index that ranges from 1 to 10.
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| Asteroid | Date(UT) |
Miss
Distance |
Mag. |
Size |
| 2012 JU | May 13 |
0.5 LD |
-- |
10 m |
| 2012 KA | May 17 |
0.6 LD |
-- |
8 m |
| 2010 KK37 | May 19 |
2.3 LD |
-- |
31 m |
| 4183 Cuno | May 20 |
47.4 LD |
-- |
5.7 km |
| 2012 JV11 | May 22 |
6.7 LD |
-- |
69 m |
| 2002 VX94 | May 26 |
72.8 LD |
-- |
1.1 km |
| 2002 AC | Jun 16 |
62.2 LD |
-- |
1.2 km |
| 1999 BJ8 | Jun 16 |
68.8 LD |
-- |
1.1 km |
| 2005 GO21 | Jun 21 |
17.1 LD |
-- |
2.2 km |
| 2003 KU2 | Jul 15 |
40.3 LD |
-- |
1.3 km |
| 2004 EW9 | Jul 16 |
46.8 LD |
-- |
2.1 km |
| 2002 AM31 | Jul 22 |
13.7 LD |
-- |
1.0 km |
| 37655 Illapa | Aug 12 |
37 LD |
-- |
1.2 km |
| Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach. |
| Source: Space Weather.com |

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