NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
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Apr 21, 2018 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 210650

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0150 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

   Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

   An upper low over the southern/central Rockies early this morning
   will continue eastward across the southern/central Plains today,
   with enhanced mid-level winds confined to mainly parts of the
   southern Plains. A weak surface low will develop from west TX to
   north-central TX through this evening as a trailing cold front moves
   eastward across the TX Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. A
   secondary, reinforcing cold front attendant to this low will move
   southward across the southern High Plains through the period.

   ...Portions of Far Southern NM to the Edwards Plateau of TX...
   Behind the initial cold front passage but ahead of the reinforcing
   cold front, elevated conditions are expected this afternoon for
   parts of far southern NM into west TX, including the Edwards Plateau
   region. Sustained winds of 15-20 mph will become common along with
   RH values lowered into generally the 10-20% range given the
   antecedent dry low-level airmass. Very isolated thunderstorms
   developed across far west TX yesterday into early this morning. Per
   MRMS gauge-corrected precipitation estimates, the spotty and
   generally light rainfall associated with this convection should not
   greatly reduce fuel receptiveness across a vast majority of the
   elevated delineation. The lack of even stronger forecast winds
   continues to preclude the introduction of a critical area.

   ..Gleason.. 04/21/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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