NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Sun May 19 16:57:03 UTC 2019
May 19, 2019 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 191655

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1155 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

   Valid 191700Z - 201200Z

   ...Southern/Central NM and far Southeast AZ...
   An elevated area has been added from far southeast AZ into portions
   of southern and central NM. Critically low RH is forecast across
   this region, with sustained winds likely approaching 20 mph during
   peak heating. While fuels are still somewhat marginal, opted to add
   an elevated area given that ERC values are trending closer to
   seasonal averages per recent fuel guidance.

   ..Dean.. 05/19/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019/

   ...Synopsis...
   A potent trough will be situated across the portions of the Great
   Basin by the end of today. With it, strong mid-level flow will begin
   to overspread portions of southern Arizona and New Mexico. At the
   surface, a low within the northern Great Basin an a weak extension
   of high pressure across the southern Plains will lead to a fairly
   weak surface pressure gradient across the Southwest. Despite ample
   upper-level clouds, enough boundary-layer mixing may occur in
   portions of southern New Mexico to lead to wind speeds of around
   15-20 mph. As fuel loading still remains below normal for this time
   of year, will forgo introducing an elevated area. The most likely
   location for locally elevated conditions, should they materialize,
   will be southwest New Mexico given its proximity to the better
   mid-level flow.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK TO GET DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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