NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 24 16:32:03 UTC 2021
Oct 24, 2021 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 241631

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1131 AM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021

   Valid 241700Z - 251200Z

   No changes have been made to the Elevated area. Late-morning surface
   observations show sustained winds approaching 20 mph from
   east-central NM into the TX South Plains, with RH values dropping to
   20-25%. Further warming/drying will result in elevated fire-weather
   conditions for a few hours this afternoon, though winds will tend to
   decrease with time from west to east as the primary midlevel
   shortwave trough and surface low move away from the region. See the
   previous discussion below for more information.

   ..Dean.. 10/24/2021

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021/

   A mid-level trough and associated surface low/dryline will move
   eastward across the central CONUS today as a more pronounced upper
   trough deepens across the West. Behind the dryline bulge, 15 mph
   west-southwesterly surface winds coinciding with 15-20% RH are
   expected for at least a few hours during the afternoon. Given
   multiple preceding days of dry and windy conditions, with no
   appreciable rainfall accumulations, finer fuels should be primed
   enough to support some grass-fire spread, warranting the
   continuation of Elevated highlights across parts of the southern
   High Plains.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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