NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Tue Feb 19 15:53:02 UTC 2019
Feb 19, 2019 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 191552

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0952 AM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

   Valid 191700Z - 201200Z

   Forecast remains on track and please see the discussion below for
   more details.

   ..Nauslar.. 02/19/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Tue Feb 19 2019/

   A mid-level shortwave trough will eject into the Central Plains
   during the day, with a surface low deepening across Chihuahua state
   in Mexico, into southwest Texas. Breezy, dry conditions, atop dry
   fine fuels, will promote some potential for fire spread across
   portions of southwest Texas during the afternoon hours. 

   ...Portions of southwest Texas...
   As the surface low tracks near the Texas/Mexico border during the
   afternoon hours, 20+ mph winds and 10-20% RH are expected to
   materialize, particularly from the Sierra Vieja to the Chisos
   Mountains. Critical conditions are possible across parts of the
   elevated area during the afternoon (particularly along terrain
   experiencing downslope flow from higher elevations), though the very
   localized nature of these conditions precludes a critical
   delineation. By evening, the stronger winds will subside, with
   sufficient RH recovery expected, reducing the threat for wildfire

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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