NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
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Feb 24, 2018 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 43,027 750,224 Lubbock, TX...Clovis, NM...Plainview, TX...Hereford, TX...Canyon, TX...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 242015

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook CORR 1
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0215 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

   Valid 241700Z - 251200Z

   CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS...

   The ongoing forecast is on track with only minimal changes needed to
   the elevated area in the Texas Panhandle.  Elevated to critical fire
   weather conditions are expected across a broad area of eastern New
   Mexico and the western third of Texas today, although the driest
   fuels and most favorable conditions for fire spread remain confined
   to the critical area from east-central New Mexico eastward into
   portions of the Texas South Plains/Panhandle.

   See the previous forecast discussion below for more information.

   ..Cook.. 02/24/2018

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018/

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper shortwave trough over the central/southern Rockies this
   morning will lift northeast to the Great Lakes through the end of
   the period. As this occurs, another shortwave trough will track
   southeast from the Pacific Northwest toward the Four Corners by
   Sunday morning. This will result in continued strong deep-layer
   west/southwesterly flow across the southern Rockies and adjacent
   Plains. 

   At the surface, a weak low will develop in the vicinity of the
   eastern TX Panhandle/western OK and a tight pressure gradient will
   overlay the southern Rockies into the High Plains. This will aid in
   strong downslope westerly winds across southeast CO and eastern NM
   into western TX. Sustained wind speeds around 15-25 mph with higher
   gusts are expected across the region. RH values will fall into the
   8-20 percent range, with the lowest values across parts of eastern
   NM into western TX. It is this area from east-central NM into the TX
   South Plains where critical fire weather conditions are possible
   given an overlap with very dry fuels. A broader area of elevated
   fire weather potential will extend from southeast CO southward
   toward the TX Big Bend.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK TO GET DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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