NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Wed Dec 12 07:23:02 UTC 2018
Dec 12, 2018 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 120721

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0121 AM CST Wed Dec 12 2018

   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

   Plains low-level cyclogenesis will occur ahead of a rapidly
   amplifying mid-level disturbance migrating from the Pacific
   Northwest toward the central Rockies.  As this occurs, low-level
   drying and warming will occur in portions of the New Mexico Plains
   west of the low and associated surface trough.  Elevated fire
   weather conditions are likely to result.  Elsewhere, gusty offshore
   flow will occur in portions of southern California, although RH
   values should remain too high for any highlights in those areas.

   ...Eastern New Mexico into the far western Texas Panhandle...
   Models indicate that a corridor of gusty westerly winds (exceeding
   20-25 mph) will develop through the afternoon just south of the
   surface low (centered over southeastern Colorado) and beneath an
   approaching mid-level speed max.  RH values will flirt with critical
   thresholds on a brief basis as afternoon temperatures rise through
   the 50s and low 60s F.  Given dormant fuels that favor fire spread,
   an elevated delineation has been retained for this outlook update.

   ..Cook.. 12/12/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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