NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Apr 3 19:22:02 UTC 2020
Apr 3, 2020 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS22 KWNS 031920

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0220 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2020

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z


   Confidence remains relatively high that portions of southwest and
   south-central NM will see RH values fall to elevated and possibly
   critical levels. However, most forecast guidance continues to
   suggest that winds will remain in the 10-15 mph range. Although more
   aggressive guidance suggests that localized elevated conditions may
   occur, mid level shortwave troughs within the subtropical jet stream
   that could promote stronger surface winds should pass to the south
   of the region (per afternoon water vapor imagery) and lends more
   credence to the milder solutions.

   ..Moore/Wendt.. 04/03/2020

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Apr 03 2020/

   Quasi-zonal mid-level flow is forecast across much of the CONUS day
   2/Saturday as a mid-level trough deepens offshore over the Eastern
   Pacific Ocean. In general, relatively weak winds where RH values are
   lowered to near elevated/critical thresholds (e.g., across much of
   the Southeast/Southwest CONUS) should temper large scale fire
   weather concerns in most areas. An exception may be across portions
   of central/southwest New Mexico, where typical afternoon breezy/dry
   sustained surface winds amidst minimum RH values less than 20% may
   promote several hours of locally elevated fire weather conditions.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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