NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Apr 3 21:58:02 UTC 2020
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Apr 3, 2020
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Apr 05, 2020 - Mon, Apr 06, 2020 D6Wed, Apr 08, 2020 - Thu, Apr 09, 2020
D4Mon, Apr 06, 2020 - Tue, Apr 07, 2020 D7Thu, Apr 09, 2020 - Fri, Apr 10, 2020
D5Tue, Apr 07, 2020 - Wed, Apr 08, 2020 D8Fri, Apr 10, 2020 - Sat, Apr 11, 2020
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   FNUS28 KWNS 032154

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0454 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2020

   Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

   Gradual troughing will take place across the western CONUS as an
   upper level trough deepens off the West Coast. Meanwhile, broad
   ridging is expected over the central and eastern CONUS with an
   active subtropical jet stream in place across the Southwest and Gulf
   Coast region. This pattern will continue to favor dry conditions for
   the Southwest for the weekend and into next week. 

   ...D3/Sunday-D4/Monday - Southern High Plains...
   Continued drying and fuel curing is expected for much of the
   southern High Plains through the end of the week and into early next
   week. An approaching mid level trough embedded within the
   subtropical jet stream will help deepen a lee surface low over
   southeast CO by D3/Sunday afternoon and into D4/Monday. As this
   occurs, downslope drying/warming along with deep boundary layer
   mixing will favor RH values falling to 10-20% with sustained winds
   between 15-20 mph for both afternoons. Although there is some
   uncertainty regarding the strength of boundary layer winds, several
   locations across northeast NM will likely see at least elevated fire
   weather conditions on D3/Sunday and D4/Monday.

   Beyond D7/Thursday, heightened fire weather conditions are possible
   for the southern High Plains as the West Coast upper level trough
   moves onshore and into the southwest CONUS. However, model spread in
   the timing of this feature (and the corresponding increase in
   surface winds) remains high and yields low confidence in delineating
   any risk areas.

   ..Moore/Wendt.. 04/03/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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