ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052157

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0357 PM CST Tue Dec 05 2023

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   A strong mid-level jet streak will cross northern California on
   Thursday. This jet streak will carve out a larger trough across the
   Southern Plains which will eventually take on a negative tilt as it
   moves into the eastern United States. A strong surface low is
   expected to develop over the weekend and leave a cool, continental
   polar airmass in its wake across most of the United States. 

   ...Day 4/Fri Southwest into Far West Texas...
   Dry and windy conditions are expected across southern New Mexico and
   Far West Texas on Friday. A lee cyclone is expected to develop
   across the Texas Panhandle which will tighten the low-level pressure
   gradient. In addition, a 50 knot mid-level jet will increase to 90
   knots Friday afternoon across southern New Mexico. These strong
   winds, above a deep, well-mixed boundary layer, will also support
   some stronger surface winds. Temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above
   normal will also support relative humidity below 15 percent. Only
   light rainfall has fallen in the region over the past 2 weeks. ERC
   values remain near seasonable normals, but dormant, fine fuels
   continue to cure and may support some fire spread and increase in
   initial attack. Therefore, 40 percent critical probabilities have
   been added for Day4/Friday.

   Some dry and breezy conditions are also possible on Day5/Saturday.
   However, these conditions are expected in the cool, post-frontal
   airmass and therefore, fire weather concerns are not as large.

   ..Bentley.. 12/05/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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