NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 3 Convective Outlook

Sep 24, 2022 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sat Sep 24 07:00:11 UTC 2022
  |  
SPC Day 3 0830Z Categorical Outlook SPC Day 3 0830Z Categorical Outlook Legend

 Forecast Discussion - Day 3 Convective Outlook


   SPC AC 240700

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0200 AM CDT Sat Sep 24 2022

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   The severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to be low on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...
   Little change to the large-scale upper pattern is expected across
   the CONUS on Monday, with a deep trough remaining in place across
   the East, while a weak ridge persists over the Southwest. A surface
   low is forecast to gradually weaken as it moves northeastward from
   Ontario into Quebec. A cold front is expected to reach the Carolina
   and Gulf Coasts by afternoon. NHC is forecasting Tropical Cyclone
   Ian to approach western Cuba by Monday night into early Tuesday
   morning. 

   The severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to be low on Monday, with
   dry and stable conditions covering much of the CONUS. Convection may
   persist across parts of New England Monday morning, though the most
   favorable severe-thunderstorm environment is expected to have moved
   offshore near or prior to the start of the period. Depending on the
   timing of the front, isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out near
   the Carolina and Gulf Coasts from late morning into early afternoon.
   Gradually increasing moisture will support diurnal thunderstorm
   development across parts of the Southwest.

   ..Dean.. 09/24/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z



Data courtesy the Storm Prediction Center
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