NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 3 Convective Outlook

Feb 25, 2018 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
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SPC Day 3 0830Z Categorical Outlook SPC Day 3 0830Z Categorical Outlook Legend

 Forecast Discussion - Day 3 Convective Outlook


   SPC AC 250812

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0212 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
   TEXAS...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND FAR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms accompanied by hail will be possible across parts of
   central and east Texas into southern Oklahoma and northwest
   Louisiana on Tuesday.

   ...Central and East Texas/Northwest Louisiana...
   An upper-level ridge is forecast to be in place across the eastern
   U.S. on Tuesday as southwest mid-level flow remains over the
   southern Plains. This pattern will result in strong moisture
   advection from central Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley.
   Scattered thunderstorm development will be possible along the
   northern edge of the warm sector from a low-level jet in central
   Texas eastward into western Louisiana and northward into southern
   Oklahoma. Forecast soundings in this area at 21Z on Tuesday show
   steep mid-level lapse rates, cold temperatures aloft, some
   instability and strong effective shear suggesting marginally severe
   hail will be possible with elevated thunderstorms during the mid to
   late afternoon.

   ..Broyles.. 02/25/2018

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z



Data courtesy the Storm Prediction Center
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