NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 3 Convective Outlook

Nov 17, 2018 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 17 07:13:24 UTC 2018
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SPC Day 3 0830Z Categorical Outlook SPC Day 3 0830Z Categorical Outlook Legend

 Forecast Discussion - Day 3 Convective Outlook


   SPC AC 170713

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0113 AM CST Sat Nov 17 2018

   Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Model guidance is in good agreement that the upper pattern will
   become more progressive on Monday with the deep upper troughing
   covering the eastern CONUS beginning to lose amplitude and shift
   eastward. At the same time, western CONUS ridging will likely dampen
   as it gradually moves eastward. A southern-stream shortwave trough
   is expected to approach the southern CA coast late in the period. 

   Expansive high pressure will dominate the sensible weather across
   the majority of the lower 48 states. The only exception is along the
   TX Gulf Coast, where are stalled front may interact with remnant
   low-level moisture to support isolated thunderstorms. No severe
   thunderstorms are anticipated.

   ..Mosier.. 11/17/2018

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z



Data courtesy the Storm Prediction Center
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